MMA · OCTOBER 31, 2026 · 5 PM ET
Your fighters.
Your contest.
Build six-fighter lineups, preserve your picks, and compare the contest fit.
1. Load this card
No slate loaded. Imports stay in this browser tab.
Supported model columns
CSV: Name, projection, ownership or DFS ID, My Proj, My Own. Optional simulation columns: winProbability, winScore, lossScore, scoreSD. JSON uses a players array with the same fields and lowercase name/id. Ownership is 0–100; winProbability is 0–1. Both opponents' win probabilities must total 1. Conditional scoring and volatility are user-supplied scenario assumptions.
Matchup notes from supplied audio
2. Choose your contest
Exact payout table
Projection build finds the highest projected legal roster under your constraints. Scenario ranking uses the selected contest's field size and full payout table; the satellite ranks first-place share. Automatic contest rankings use expected net payout for cash-prize tournaments and first-place share for ticket satellites. Results are exploratory and do not establish your actual chance of winning or profiting.
3. Keep your picks. Fill the gaps.
Lock four fighters to fill the last two spots, or lock any number from zero to six. Fighters in uploaded roster rows stay in their original slots. Supplied matchup picks: Cody Durden, Luana Santos, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, Francis Marshall, and Julian Erosa. These are editorial picks, not automatic locks. Exclude fighters or set maximum exposures for a lineup set.
| Lock | Exclude | Fighter | Salary | Projection | Ownership % | Max exposure % |
|---|
4. Build and compare
Baseline model assumptions
The baseline normalizes each pair of supplied moneylines into win chances. It assumes a losing score of the smaller of 30 points or half the fighter’s projection, then solves the winning-score mean to preserve that projection. Each branch uses a positive scoring distribution with a 25-point standard deviation and a shared fight factor. Field lineups are sampled from legal combinations using ownership odds. These are uncalibrated assumptions, not measured fighter-specific finish rates or verified forecasts of returns. Change the model or draw count to inspect sensitivity. Candidates are evaluated individually against a modeled field; a multi-entry portfolio’s joint profit is not simulated.
Upload this card's salaries and projections to start.
Fighter exposures
Supplied betting card
Original selections and quoted prices. Availability and current prices are unverified. Stakes below are units.
| Selection | Original odds | Risk → profit |
|---|---|---|
| Brown/Smith Starts Round 2Smith may need time to solve Brown’s range. | -135 | 1 → 0.74 |
| Cody Durden moneyline vs Ode OsbourneFull camp; the supplied pick depends on Durden committing to wrestling. | -108 | 1 → 0.93 |
| Julian Erosa moneylineOriginal Polymarket quote; supplied reasoning favors grappling. | +150 | 1 → 1.5 |
| Rodriguez 3 or Decision + Lebosnoyani moneylineOriginal shorthand retained; verify the exact round-or-decision market before placing. | +122 | 1 → 1.22 |
| Moicano/Nolan Starts Round 2 + Marshall moneylineTwo-leg parlay. Starts Round 2 is not Over 1.5 rounds. | -112 | 1.12 → 1 |