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My first pitcher is Jacob deGrom. My preferred expensive tournament alternative is Gavin Williams, while Cristopher Sanchez belongs in the premium pool when the full lineup can absorb his price. Martin Perez is the leading salary-saving pitcher on the supplied projections, subject to confirming his assignment and workload. The hitting plan starts with Seattle, the Cubs and Colorado. Detroit supplies a useful inexpensive secondary stack; Cleveland and St. Louis provide alternative five-hitter constructions.
For standalone hitters, my initial comparisons are Pete Crow-Armstrong, Randy Arozarena, Jake McCarthy, Elly De La Cruz and Ronald Acuna Jr. For savings, start by examining Jahmai Jones, Hao-Yu Lee, Max Clark, Thomas Saggese and Kyle Teel. These are different roles: the best expensive hitter, the best point-per-dollar hitter and the best final piece for a particular roster will not always be the same person.
This is an original editorial playbook built from MLB Main projection snapshot, supplied September 20, 2026. It contains 941 rows, of which 199 have positive projections: 180 hitters and 19 pitchers. All figures below are that snapshot, not live odds or realized ownership. Rankings balance the listed projections, salaries, estimated popularity, roster fit and team totals. No completed contest simulation, measured stack win rate or guaranteed return is represented.
Read the sheet correctly before building
The export includes many pitchers with zero projections, including recognizable names. I excluded those rows from the ranked pool rather than treating name recognition as evidence they are pitching. Every positive-projection row has StartingStatus=1. That consistent code does not independently prove every batting lineup is officially confirmed. Batting orders in this article are the orders supplied in the file; recheck them before submitting entries. A cheap hitter moving from second to ninth changes the value proposition.
The file lists some projected pitchers as RP, including Perez and Griffin Jax. RP eligibility does not establish whether someone will open, provide bulk innings or work a conventional start. The salary may still be usable at a pitcher slot, but the expected workload needs separate confirmation. No positive-projection Cubs pitcher appears in the sheet. Do not promote a zero-projection Cubs row to starter, and keep Cincinnati hitter analysis conditional on the actual assignment.
All 199 positive-projection players now match the supplied DraftKings salary file by normalized name and team, with no salary or position discrepancies. Positions and teams agree across the two supplied snapshots. For example, it lists Bryce Harper at OF, Kyle Schwarber at 1B and Hao-Yu Lee at 2B/3B. The builder uses the verified IDs from the DraftKings salary file for its CSV exports. The examples below are readable constructions; export the selected lineup from the builder when ready. A matched salary file confirms slate eligibility, not a confirmed starting batting order.
Pitcher rankings: start with the whole roster
| Player · team | Pos. | $ | Proj. | Ceiling | Own. % | Order* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom · TEX | SP | 9,600 | 23.5 | 32.58 | 24.3 | — |
| Gavin Williams · CLE | SP | 10,400 | 22.05 | 38.27 | 20.6 | — |
| Cristopher Sanchez · PHI | SP | 11,100 | 22.47 | 27.43 | 22 | — |
| Hunter Brown · HOU | SP | 9,500 | 18.33 | 27.58 | 16 | — |
| Troy Melton · DET | SP | 8,700 | 17.3 | 24.52 | 2 | — |
| Martin Perez · ATL | RP | 6,000 | 15.78 | 20.13 | 16.1 | — |
| Quinn Mathews · STL | SP | 8,200 | 15.98 | 23.68 | 3 | — |
| Griffin Jax · TB | RP | 8,000 | 16.59 | 26.34 | 3.3 | — |
| Jake Irvin · WSH | SP | 5,800 | 13.45 | 17.91 | 23.4 | — |
| Michael Wacha · KC | SP | 9,000 | 14.74 | 26.45 | 2 | — |
1. Jacob deGrom — first overall consideration. At $9,600, his 23.50 projection leads the pitcher pool. He costs $1,500 less than Sanchez while projecting 1.03 points higher. That creates a strong starting argument for both cash and tournaments. His listed 24.3% ownership makes him popular, but popularity is not a sufficient reason to abandon the best combination of price and projection. Start with him, then decide whether differentiation should come from the second pitcher or the bats.
The caveat is the distribution. DeGrom has a 32.58 listed ceiling and a 2.11 floor. Neither is a literal maximum or minimum, and that low floor is a useful reminder that a strong mean can coexist with a poor individual outcome. Do not describe this as a safe lock. His opponent is Toronto in the supplied slate, so Toronto hitters are excluded from every example using him.
2. Gavin Williams — my premium upside alternative. Williams projects for 22.05 at $10,400, with the highest pitcher ceiling field, 38.27. That is $800 more than deGrom for a lower mean, so he is not the automatic cash upgrade. The tournament case is the possibility of a larger upper-end score, supported here by the supplied ceiling estimate rather than an independently calculated strikeout probability. His 20.6% projected ownership is meaningful, not obscure.
3. Cristopher Sanchez — strong projection, demanding salary. The $11,100 price buys 22.47 projected points and a 27.43 ceiling. He ranks second by raw mean but third in my overall construction preference because the savings with deGrom or Williams can improve a hitter. Paying for Sanchez is reasonable when inexpensive confirmed bats fit naturally. Paying for him and then accepting several weak hitters purely to preserve the pitcher name is a different decision.
4. Hunter Brown — a middle premium option. Brown costs $9,500 for 18.33 projected points, 27.58 ceiling and 16.0% ownership. The difficulty is proximity to deGrom: saving only $100 costs 5.17 projected points. Brown needs a matchup view or portfolio purpose beyond being slightly less popular. He is a usable alternative, but I would not rotate him equally with the first three without reviewing the resulting lineup differences. Houston hitters can accompany him; Atlanta hitters cannot under our conflict rule.
5. Troy Melton — lower-owned second-pitcher candidate. His $8,700 salary, 17.30 projection and 2.0% ownership offer a noticeable popularity change without dropping to the deepest salary tier. The 24.52 ceiling remains an estimate. Melton fits a roster that already has enough inexpensive offense and wants to avoid the most common pitching combinations. He faces the White Sox in the sheet, so Kyle Teel, Tristan Peters and other Chicago value bats must come out of those builds.
6. Martin Perez — best projected budget route. Perez costs $6,000 and projects for 15.78, or 2.63 points per $1,000. That is an appealing way to unlock Seattle, Colorado or an expensive standalone hitter. His 16.1% ownership means the savings will not be a secret. He faces Houston, whose supplied implied total is 4.3, so this is not a recommendation to disregard opponent scoring risk. Confirm sufficient innings opportunity before leaning on the projection, particularly because the export labels him RP.
7–8. Quinn Mathews and Griffin Jax — alternatives with conditions. Mathews is $8,200 for 15.98 and 3.0% ownership; Jax is $8,000 for 16.59 and 3.3%. Both can reduce portfolio concentration, but low ownership alone does not make them superior to Perez. Jax’s role and workload deserve a direct check. Mathews conflicts with Washington hitters, including Wood, Lile and Abrams. Jax conflicts with Boston, including the tempting $2,200 Jahmai Jones.
9. Jake Irvin — salary relief with a real trade-off. At $5,800, Irvin projects for 13.45, with 23.4% ownership. Perez costs only $200 more and projects 2.33 points higher, so I prefer Perez when the rest of the roster is unaffected. Irvin becomes more relevant when using Houston hitters or when the exact $200 changes an important position. St. Louis stacks cannot accompany Irvin. Do not combine a bullish Cardinals scoring thesis with a pitcher who benefits when those same hitters fail.
10. Michael Wacha and the remaining pool. Wacha’s $9,000 salary for 14.74 makes him difficult to prioritize despite 2.0% ownership. Patrick Sandoval, Jonah Tong and Jack Perkins can be considered in intentional alternatives, but their means trail the principal pool. Sugano and Lowder sit below nine projected points; cheap pitchers facing our leading stacks are not automatic values. Spending less is useful only when the extra offense compensates for the pitching sacrifice.
Cash versus GPP: pitcher shortlist
Cash: start with deGrom and compare Sanchez or Williams when the cheaper bats preserve opportunity. Perez is the budget comparison only after workload confirmation; Irvin is a weaker-projection fallback when his savings or opponent fits the roster. Use the Double Up profile and cash probability to compare complete lineups. Do not fade a strong arm solely because he is popular.
GPP: keep deGrom in the pool, prioritize Williams as the premium ceiling alternative, and compare Melton as the lower-owned second arm. Sanchez remains viable when salary fits. Perez can fund a strong five-man stack, but inspect how many lineups depend on him. Pitcher diversification should produce different plausible outcomes without forcing every low-projection arm into the portfolio.
Pitcher pairs and what they leave for hitters
The salary cap is a shared budget. Evaluate a pair by the eight bats it leaves behind, not simply the sum of the two pitcher rankings. The following arithmetic uses the supplied means and a $50,000 cap. It is not a simulation of pitcher correlation or a promise that the pair reaches its combined projection.
| Pair | Pitcher spend | Combined proj. | Left for 8 bats | Average per bat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom + Martin Perez | $15,600 | 39.28 | $34,400 | $4,300 |
| Jacob deGrom + Jake Irvin | $15,400 | 36.95 | $34,600 | $4,325 |
| Jacob deGrom + Gavin Williams | $20,000 | 45.55 | $30,000 | $3,750 |
| Jacob deGrom + Cristopher Sanchez | $20,700 | 45.97 | $29,300 | $3,662 |
| Gavin Williams + Martin Perez | $16,400 | 37.83 | $33,600 | $4,200 |
| Jacob deGrom + Troy Melton | $18,300 | 40.80 | $31,700 | $3,962 |
DeGrom–Perez is my first balanced comparison. DeGrom–Williams is the stronger raw pitching combination if the cheaper offense holds together. DeGrom–Sanchez is even more expensive, so it deserves an actual side-by-side roster check instead of an assumption that two expensive arms produce the best lineup. DeGrom–Melton provides a different compromise: less budget pressure than two top-priced arms and much less projected popularity at the second pitcher spot.
Top stacks: editorial priority board
| Rank | Team | Implied runs* | Role | Starting core |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle | 5.7 | Primary stack | Randy Arozarena, Cal Raleigh, J.P. Crawford |
| 2 | Chicago Cubs | 5.2 | Primary stack | Pete Crow-Armstrong, Alex Bregman, Seiya Suzuki |
| 3 | Colorado | 4.8 | Primary alternative | Jake McCarthy, TJ Rumfield, Connor Norby |
| 4 | Cleveland | 4.1 | Balanced alternative | Chase DeLauter, Jose Ramirez, Steven Kwan |
| 5 | St. Louis | 4.6 | Salary-aware alternative | Alec Burleson, Leo Bernal, Thomas Saggese |
| 6 | Detroit | 3.9 | Best budget secondary | Riley Greene, Hao-Yu Lee, Max Clark |
| 7 | Tampa Bay | 4.3 | Secondary / selective five | Jonathan Aranda, Yandy Diaz, Chandler Simpson |
| 8 | Kansas City | 4.2 | Catcher-led secondary | Carter Jensen, Bobby Witt Jr., Vinnie Pasquantino |
These are judgment-based construction priorities, not an automated sort by the five highest hitter means. That distinction matters: the Cubs’ five highest projections include four outfielders, which cannot all occupy the three OF slots in a Classic lineup. St. Louis has two catcher-only players near the top of its projection list. A stack ranking must respect positions rather than advertise an impossible five-player combination.
1. Seattle — the first stack to build. Seattle carries the highest listed implied total, 5.7. Arozarena leads the team at 12.02 projected points; Raleigh gives you a strong catcher at 10.12; Canzone follows at 9.98. Crawford is the listed leadoff hitter and costs $4,000, giving the stack a useful shortstop anchor. Those four make a practical starting group, with Rodriguez or Naylor depending on remaining positions and salary.
My premium version is Crawford, Arozarena, Canzone, Raleigh and Rodriguez. That consumes all three outfield spots, which limits the other stack to infield positions. A more flexible version replaces an outfielder with Naylor at first base or Cole Young at second. The hitter you leave out should be determined by the full lineup. Seattle has several players projected in the teens for ownership, so repeated identical five-man combinations may be common even when no single hitter dominates the slate.
2. Cubs — prioritize Crow-Armstrong without forcing four outfielders. The 5.2 implied total trails only Seattle among these leading stacks. Crow-Armstrong is the highest-projected hitter in the entire active pool at 12.67, with a 29.65 ceiling. Bregman supplies third-base eligibility and 10.01 projected points. Suzuki adds 9.37, but using Happ and Conforto as well would exceed the available outfield slots. Position discipline is essential.
A practical five starts with Crow-Armstrong, Bregman and Suzuki, then uses Hoerner and Kelly to cover shortstop and catcher. Another route includes Busch at first base or Ramirez at second. Happ’s 18.2% ownership and 8.39 mean should be compared with the alternatives rather than accepted automatically. Ramirez’s 0% estimate is not a prediction that nobody will roster him; treat that value as uncertain until the lineup and ownership feed are refreshed.
3. Colorado — a strong alternative with expensive choices. Colorado has a 4.8 implied total and McCarthy projects for 12.40 at $5,400, only 0.27 below Crow-Armstrong while costing $1,300 less. His 5.0% projected ownership stands out against the leading Seattle and Cubs outfielders. Rumfield, Norby and Goodman provide ways to spread the stack across the infield and catcher instead of spending every OF slot.
My starting group is McCarthy, Rumfield and Norby. Goodman is useful when paying for catcher fits; Carrigg adds OF/SS flexibility but costs $5,400. Karros and Tovar are salary-saving ways to reach five, with the drawback of weaker projections and lower listed batting positions. Choosing Tovar ninth is an explicit cost-saving decision, not an argument that every cheap member of a strong team is equally attractive. Colorado hitters exclude Seattle pitching from the same lineup.
4. Cleveland — a construction-friendly alternative. Cleveland’s 4.1 implied total is lower than the first three, but DeLauter, Ramirez and Kwan make a usable core across OF and third base. DeLauter projects for 9.62 at $4,200. Ramirez costs $5,500 for 9.41 with only 5.0% projected ownership. The choice between them is not purely positional: it is also whether the savings preserve an additional premium hitter elsewhere.
Bazzana and Rocchio bring middle-infield options, while Nathaniel Lowe and Patrick Bailey can reduce spending at first base and catcher. The listed orders put Bazzana seventh, Bailey eighth and Rocchio ninth, so a discounted five-man version may give away opportunities compared with a top-heavy construction. Gavin Williams can accompany Cleveland hitters because they are his teammates. Jack Perkins cannot, because he pitches against them.
5. St. Louis — attractive total, catcher collision. A 4.6 implied total puts the Cardinals ahead of several more expensive offenses. Burleson, Walker and Saggese form a useful starting point. Bernal has a 9.02 projection at $3,500, while Herrera has 8.39 at $4,000. Both are listed only at catcher. You can choose one, not both, in a standard Classic lineup. That conflict reduces the usefulness of simply summing the team’s top five means.
Saggese’s 2B/SS eligibility and $3,000 salary help the stack fit around an expensive pitcher. Winn, Gorman or Church can fill the fifth slot according to the remaining positions. Irvin is a popular salary-saving arm in the sheet, so St. Louis also offers a direct alternative to builds relying on him. That is a reason to compare the paths, not a measured claim about stack leverage or expected return.
6. Detroit — my preferred inexpensive secondary stack. Detroit’s 3.9 implied total does not scream first overall offense. Its appeal is the individual pricing: Lee at $3,200, Clark at $3,300 and Torkelson at $3,600 can make an expensive primary stack possible. Greene supplies the stronger outfield anchor, with 9.11 projected points and a 20.50 ceiling. McGonigle is the premium infield piece if the budget permits.
For a three-hitter secondary, Greene–Lee–Clark is an accessible combination when two OF slots remain. Lee–Torkelson plus an outfielder works when the main stack consumes more of that space. Their positions complement Seattle catcher and shortstop pieces especially well. Detroit hitters are incompatible with Davis Martin. Do not confuse that restriction with Troy Melton, who pitches for Detroit and can legally accompany the offense under this strategy.
7–8. Tampa Bay and Kansas City. Tampa Bay offers Aranda at $3,800 with an 8.79 projection, Simpson at $3,200 with 8.49, and Mesa at $3,500 with 8.83. Yandy Diaz helps cover first or third. Caminero is the expensive decision at $6,400: useful in selected stacks, harder to justify as the first standalone purchase when other stars project higher. Kansas City starts with Jensen at catcher, Witt at shortstop and Pasquantino at first. Massey is the inexpensive second-base option. Those positional combinations can solve a lineup more effectively than another collection of outfielders.
The remaining teams. Philadelphia offers Turner and Harper as individual comparisons, but the export puts both Schwarber and Bohm only at first base. Houston supplies Paredes and Pena around Alvarez, provided Perez is not one of your pitchers. Atlanta is led by Acuna, with Baldwin a catcher alternative, but conflicts with Hunter Brown. Pittsburgh offers Griffin at $3,900 and 9.36 projected points as an appealing shortstop. Texas supplies Seager and Jung for relatively modest salaries. The Mets, Athletics and Toronto are selective opposing-pitcher bets rather than my default stacks; use them only in lineups without Sanchez, Williams and deGrom respectively. Cincinnati remains conditional on the missing Cubs starter assignment.
Value bats: buy opportunities and roster fit
| Player · team | Pos. | $ | Proj. | Ceiling | Own. % | Order* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmai Jones · BOS | OF | 2,200 | 7.34 | 8.54 | 2.3 | 2 |
| Hao-Yu Lee · DET | 2B/3B | 3,200 | 8.43 | 17.14 | 3.2 | 2 |
| Max Clark · DET | OF | 3,300 | 8.36 | 16.99 | 3.4 | 6 |
| Thomas Saggese · STL | 2B/SS | 3,000 | 7.68 | 18.22 | 10.3 | 5 |
| Kyle Teel · CWS | C | 3,200 | 8.25 | 11.12 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Tristan Peters · CWS | OF | 3,100 | 8.25 | 10.07 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Tyler Stephenson · CIN | C | 3,300 | 7.77 | 12.58 | 9.7 | 4 |
| Jonathan Aranda · TB | 1B | 3,800 | 8.79 | 17.75 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Chandler Simpson · TB | OF | 3,200 | 8.49 | 14.43 | 6.6 | 5 |
| Konnor Griffin · PIT | SS | 3,900 | 9.36 | 15.38 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Corey Seager · TEX | SS | 3,900 | 8.68 | 16.43 | 8.8 | 2 |
| Patrick Bailey · CLE | C | 2,600 | 6.88 | 12.55 | 4.6 | 8 |
Jahmai Jones is the clearest pure salary release. The sheet gives him $2,200, 7.34 projected points and the second batting position. That is 3.34 points per $1,000. His 8.54 ceiling estimate is modest, so this is primarily a way to fund stronger positions elsewhere rather than the most exciting individual tournament ceiling. He becomes less compelling if the order changes. Do not use him against your own Griffin Jax selection.
Lee and Clark are useful beyond the cheapest-price label. Lee projects for 8.43 with a 17.14 ceiling and covers 2B/3B. Clark projects for 8.36 with a 16.99 ceiling at OF. They make sense as a Detroit pair, but either can be a standalone roster solution. Lee’s listed second spot is particularly helpful to the construction argument. Clark is sixth in the sheet, so the two do not have identical opportunity profiles even though their projections are close.
Saggese, Teel and Peters solve scarce slots or salary pressure. Saggese offers middle-infield flexibility and an 18.22 ceiling at $3,000. Teel gives catcher coverage for $3,200 and an 8.25 mean. Peters offers the same mean at $3,100 with a listed leadoff assignment. Teel and Peters can be a White Sox secondary pair, but neither belongs with Melton. Low ownership is useful context here, not an independent forecast that either will beat more popular hitters.
Do not ignore the slightly more expensive values. Griffin’s $3,900 price and 9.36 projection can be better for the full roster than saving another $1,000 on a weak shortstop. Seager costs the same and projects for 8.68, with a 16.43 ceiling. Aranda and Simpson offer strong Tampa Bay alternatives. At catcher, compare Bernal, Teel, Stephenson and Bailey according to the stack and remaining budget. Saving salary at catcher is helpful only if the chosen player is actually in the eligible starting pool.
Best one-offs: choose the missing job in the lineup
| Player · team | Pos. | $ | Proj. | Ceiling | Own. % | Order* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong · CHC | OF | 6,700 | 12.67 | 29.65 | 21.5 | 1 |
| Jake McCarthy · COL | OF | 5,400 | 12.4 | 18.24 | 5 | 1 |
| Randy Arozarena · SEA | OF | 6,200 | 12.02 | 21.91 | 17.5 | 2 |
| Elly De La Cruz · CIN | SS | 6,000 | 11.71 | 20.09 | 9.2 | 2 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. · ATL | OF | 5,500 | 10.88 | 20.98 | 7 | 2 |
| Carter Jensen · KC | C | 4,500 | 10.03 | 20.86 | 10.2 | 1 |
| Chase DeLauter · CLE | OF | 4,200 | 9.62 | 17.25 | 11.9 | 3 |
| Jose Ramirez · CLE | 3B | 5,500 | 9.41 | 14.37 | 5 | 2 |
| Riley Greene · DET | OF | 4,700 | 9.11 | 20.50 | 4.8 | 4 |
| Yordan Alvarez · HOU | OF | 5,900 | 9.61 | 13.58 | 4.5 | 2 |
My first premium standalone comparisons are Crow-Armstrong, McCarthy and Arozarena. Crow-Armstrong leads raw projection and the supplied hitter ceiling, but costs $6,700. McCarthy offers nearly the same mean for substantially less salary and lower estimated popularity. Arozarena combines Seattle’s favorable team total with a 12.02 mean. If one is already part of your five-man stack, he is not an additional one-off; count actual team memberships, not the labels used during selection.
Elly De La Cruz is the premium shortstop option at $6,000, 11.71 projected points and 9.2% ownership. That position matters because so many other leading standalone options occupy OF. Acuna is $5,500 for 10.88 at 7.0% ownership, making him a useful alternative when the main stack already supplies enough Seattle or Cubs exposure. His matchup conflicts with Brown. Jensen is my first expensive catcher comparison for a lineup that otherwise lacks Kansas City exposure.
Ramirez, DeLauter and Greene are the next comparisons when salary or positional fit pushes you away from the top group. Alvarez is a recognized premium option but projects for 9.61 at $5,900, behind cheaper Acuna in this snapshot. Do not automatically elevate a famous hitter above the file without explaining the independent reason. Similarly, a zero or tiny ownership estimate should not turn an ordinary projection into a must-play.
The right one-off can provide a home-run route, an extra top-of-order opportunity or simply a stronger positional fit. This export does not include individual home-run probabilities, stolen-base probabilities or validated hitter-versus-pitch-type splits. I am therefore ranking overall fantasy opportunities rather than inventing those components. For a tournament, compare what a hitter adds to the lineup’s favorable outcome, not just how unusual his name looks beside the stack.
5/3, 5/2/1 and 5/1/1/1: what each build means
A 5/3 contains no one-offs. It uses five hitters from one team and three from another. The pitchers are separate from that notation. This structure concentrates offense into two team outcomes and gives the secondary group its own scoring correlation. It is a reasonable first tournament construction when both groups fit the available positions and the weaker member of the three-man group still deserves a roster spot.
A 5/2/1 uses a two-hitter secondary and one standalone hitter. It works when a third secondary hitter has poor position fit or a much weaker outlook than an available one-off. For this sheet, a Cubs five with Lee and Torkelson plus a cheap outfielder is a practical example. The one-off is not automatically contrarian; its first job is improving the roster. If it is from either existing stack team, the actual shape changes.
A 5/1/1/1 keeps the primary correlation and buys three independent hitters. Those three must be from different teams, each outside the five-man stack, to retain the stated shape. It can solve position conflicts and retain strong individual plays. The trade-off is less secondary-team correlation. A 4/2/1/1 is another valid option when the fifth hitter in a primary stack is a substantial downgrade. Do not force five simply to satisfy a slogan.
Never roster six hitters from one team in these DraftKings Classic constructions. Use two pitchers and eight hitters across C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS and three OF slots. Our strategy excludes every hitter facing either selected pitcher. A pitcher can accompany hitters from his own team; he is not pitching against them. Opposing hitters are the conflict. An MLB opposing-team runback is optional and different from the NFL quarterback correlation concept: a Seattle stack does not require a Colorado hitter.
Three complete examples checked against your sheet
These are illustrative, salary-checked constructions using the export’s positions. They are not optimized winners, verified live starting lineups or DraftKings import files. The total projection is simple addition; it does not measure tournament win probability, correlation or duplication. Confirm every player’s current eligibility and lineup status before using an example.
5/3 · Seattle five + Detroit three
| Slot | Player | Team | Salary | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | Jacob deGrom | TEX | $9,600 | 23.5 |
| P | Martin Perez | ATL | $6,000 | 15.78 |
| C | Cal Raleigh | SEA | $5,600 | 10.12 |
| 1B | Josh Naylor | SEA | $4,300 | 8.26 |
| 2B | Cole Young | SEA | $3,900 | 7.69 |
| 3B | Hao-Yu Lee | DET | $3,200 | 8.43 |
| SS | J.P. Crawford | SEA | $4,000 | 8.95 |
| OF | Dominic Canzone | SEA | $4,600 | 9.98 |
| OF | Riley Greene | DET | $4,700 | 9.11 |
| OF | Max Clark | DET | $3,300 | 8.36 |
Total salary: $49,200 · Salary remaining: $800 · Summed projection: 110.18.
5/2/1 · Cubs five + Detroit two + Boston one
| Slot | Player | Team | Salary | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | Jacob deGrom | TEX | $9,600 | 23.5 |
| P | Jake Irvin | WSH | $5,800 | 13.45 |
| C | Carson Kelly | CHC | $3,600 | 7.48 |
| 1B | Spencer Torkelson | DET | $3,600 | 8.08 |
| 2B | Hao-Yu Lee | DET | $3,200 | 8.43 |
| 3B | Alex Bregman | CHC | $5,800 | 10.01 |
| SS | Nico Hoerner | CHC | $3,700 | 7.6 |
| OF | Pete Crow-Armstrong | CHC | $6,700 | 12.67 |
| OF | Seiya Suzuki | CHC | $5,200 | 9.37 |
| OF | Jahmai Jones | BOS | $2,200 | 7.34 |
Total salary: $49,400 · Salary remaining: $600 · Summed projection: 107.93.
5/1/1/1 · Colorado five + Kansas City, Atlanta and Detroit
| Slot | Player | Team | Salary | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | Jacob deGrom | TEX | $9,600 | 23.5 |
| P | Martin Perez | ATL | $6,000 | 15.78 |
| C | Carter Jensen | KC | $4,500 | 10.03 |
| 1B | TJ Rumfield | COL | $4,200 | 9.44 |
| 2B | Connor Norby | COL | $4,100 | 9.01 |
| 3B | Kyle Karros | COL | $3,400 | 7.64 |
| SS | Ezequiel Tovar | COL | $2,900 | 6.74 |
| OF | Jake McCarthy | COL | $5,400 | 12.4 |
| OF | Ronald Acuna Jr. | ATL | $5,500 | 10.88 |
| OF | Max Clark | DET | $3,300 | 8.36 |
Total salary: $48,900 · Salary remaining: $1,100 · Summed projection: 113.78.
The Seattle example preserves five-team correlation while using Detroit’s affordable three. The Cubs example spends on Crow-Armstrong and Bregman, with Jones supplying the final salary release. The Colorado example keeps McCarthy and uses lower-order infield savings to afford Jensen and Acuna as separate hitters. None needs to spend the full $50,000 to be a coherent candidate. The unused salary is a consequence of construction, not proof of unique ownership or a reason to stop looking for improvements.
Single entry, 20-max and larger portfolios
For single entry, begin with one clear primary stack and compare two pitcher pairs before changing everything else. Seattle or the Cubs are reasonable first comparisons, with Colorado as the leading alternative. A five-man stack plus a compatible secondary is easier to evaluate than eight unrelated hitters. The goal is a lineup with a plausible high-scoring path and acceptable opportunity at every position. It does not require the lowest possible combined ownership.
For a 20-lineup tournament set, an illustrative starting allocation is Seattle five lineups, Cubs four, Colorado four, Cleveland three, St. Louis two and Detroit two as primary stacks. That totals twenty and is an editorial example, not a simulator-derived optimum. You can use Detroit more often as a secondary even when it appears only twice as the main stack. Keep primary-stack exposure separate from individual-hitter exposure so the portfolio is understandable.
The default 20-lineup shape mix is six 5/3, five 5/2/1, three 5/1/1/1, four 4/2/1/1 and two 4/3/1 builds: 70% five-hitter primary stacks and 30% four-hitter primary stacks. Fine Tune lets you change these percentages and set primary-team shares and player exposure caps. Let positional fit and the final lineups determine whether that mix needs adjustment. There is no evidence in this file that those exact percentages maximize return. Their purpose is to create different coherent constructions while retaining a clear preference for five-man stacks.
For a larger portfolio, avoid manufacturing diversification by filling it with every zero-projection player or every unpopular offense. Expand to additional plausible team outcomes, then review how often the same budget pitcher or cheap hitter appears across them. Twenty different stacks can still depend excessively on one pitcher. Exposure should describe the actual exported lineups after selection, not merely the candidate pool generated at the beginning.
What the simulator should resolve—and what this article cannot
A contest simulation should compare complete lineups against a modeled field using the real entry fee, field size and payout ladder. The accompanying update contains 14 supplied Classic contest profiles with checked field sizes, entry caps, fees and complete payout ladders. Choose the contest before simulating; use Sim ROI, Cash %, Win % or other available rankings to inspect the results. The separate Home Runs-only contest is not supported by this Classic engine. This article does not report a calibrated expected return or invent simulation performance for its editorial picks. A hitter projection is not an ROI figure, and a team total is not a five-man stack’s probability of being optimal.
For cash contests, emphasize modeled probability of reaching the payout threshold. For top-heavy tournaments, examine upside, expected payout and duplication as well as the mean. Team scoring events are connected: a hitter reaching base can become a teammate’s run batted in. A credible model should preserve those relationships rather than drawing every hitter independently and calling the result stack analysis. Pitcher and opposing-hitter outcomes also need consistent treatment.
Close simulation rankings deserve restraint, especially when rare first-place finishes drive the estimated return. Increase simulation depth when it changes a meaningful decision, and compare several nearby candidates instead of treating the first decimal as certainty. Our examples have been checked for salary, positions and pitcher conflicts; that is a useful construction check, but it is not a validation of the simulator’s probability calibration.
Final decisions before entry
First, verify the actual Main slate and its lock time. This export’s filename identifies a Main pool but does not supply every contest’s rules or timing. Then confirm pitcher assignments, innings expectations, official batting orders and weather. Refresh ownership rather than assuming an early 0% estimate remains reliable. If a projected hitter is absent from the lineup, replace him with a currently eligible player and rebuild the affected correlation group.
Second, review each full roster for salary, eight hitter positions, two pitchers, duplicate players and the five-hitter team limit. Check both pitchers against every hitter’s opponent relationship. Third, confirm the actual stack shapes after all substitutions. Replacing a standalone hitter with someone from the primary team can accidentally produce a six-hitter stack even when the original construction was valid.
Finally, preserve this snapshot and the lineups you actually enter. Post-slate review should compare the original rankings, ownership forecasts and selections with results without rewriting the recommendations after the games. A good outcome from an unplayed alternative is not automatically a winning call. Judge whether the reasoning and portfolio were sound as well as whether one favorite happened to fail. That is how the playbook becomes a useful record for the next slate.
Sources and calculation notes
Primary numerical source: your supplied MLB Main projection snapshot. Batting orders, teams, positions, projections, salaries, ownership, ceilings and implied totals are preserved from that file. Ownership is forecast player ownership; it is not measured stack ownership. Point-per-dollar figures divide projection by salary in thousands. Lineup totals add the individual projections without a correlation adjustment.
Use MLB’s probable-pitcher board and official starting lineups for final assignment checks. The probable-pitcher page showed the Cubs assignment as TBD when checked. Refer to the selected contest and DraftKings rules page for current roster and scoring requirements. Public sources are for verification; they do not replace the numerical snapshot or establish that a lineup has been simulated.