⏱ 20-minute combined playbook · Round 3 single-round showdown (6 golfers, $50K) — moving day is LIVE: the early wave is already on the course, the leaders tee off mid-afternoon ET, and late-entry contests are open. This is the round where the sim and the leaderboard disagree with the field — and that disagreement is the whole slate.
The board: Rory McIlroy leads at −9 with Fitzpatrick one back at −8 in the final pairing (3:24 local), Gotterup and MacIntyre lurking at −7. But R3 showdown isn't "who wins the tournament" — it's who shoots today's lowest round, and position on the leaderboard tells you almost nothing about that. What does: single-round projection, birdie rate, and the tee-time weather split.
The free look: the field's biggest ownership (Fleetwood, ~30%) sits T38 needing a 64 for it to matter, while a $6,100 golfer sitting T13 at −6 projects a better round at 3% ownership. That gap — 10x the leverage at half the price — is behind the paywall, along with my six-man core, the leader-pairing math, and the value board.
Behind the paywall: the ranked top plays, the Fleetwood chalk trap, the 3%-owned smash, the wave split, six live punts and two cap-legal six-man cores — plus the three ways to build it in the lab.
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