⏱ 12-minute playbook · TOR@SD (8.4 total) + ARI@LAD (9.2). Forty players, four starting arms, and one truth: on a 2-gamer the field piles onto the same cheap seats — ownership is the whole game tonight. Every rank below blends projection, ceiling (p95) AND ownership — not just points. Slate is live in the builder (🌃 NIGHT toggle) with all six real contests loaded, and the hand-builder.
Article by James at CourtEdge · Sat 7/11 · 8:40 ET lock · CourtEdge Analytics · Proprietary Models
The free look: LAD is the only real offense on the board (5.6 implied, next best 4.3) and the field knows it — but the market is paying the WRONG Dodgers. Ohtani at 42% is correct chalk; Teoscar Hernández at 14% ownership for $4,400 is the same offense at one-third the crowd. And the night's biggest trap wears a Toronto uniform.
⏱ 20-minute combined playbook · The nightcap is a REMATCH — Arizona jumped this same Dodgers team 9-3 last night, and the seat that won the contest was the 11%-owned ARI arm. Tonight the field re-adjusts back to LA (5.5 implied behind Yamamoto), which sets up the day's most interesting captain math: the highest bat ceiling of the entire day sitting at 5.5% ownership.
The game: 9.1 total, lopsided — LAD 5.5 implied, ARI 3.6 against Yamamoto. And one structural quirk that changes construction completely: there are no punt bats on this slate. The cheapest useful hitters start in the mid-$4Ks and the only $4,000 fills are relievers who project ~2 points. Every seat costs real money — which makes the captain choice worth MORE here than on any other slate today.
The free look:
| Player | Seat | FLEX $ | Proj | Flex Own | CPT Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | The engine | $12,200 | 19.1 | ~46% | ~25% |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD #1) | The 30-ceiling seat | $10,200 | 11.6 | ~21% | 5.5% 🎯 |
| 🔒 My 5 captains (incl. last night's winning archetype) | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | members |
Behind the paywall: the full captain board with exposures, the E-Rod-echo seat the field refuses to click twice, five flex locks, the no-punt construction rule, and the yesterday's-hero fade. All three of today's showdowns are loaded in the Showdown Lab — toggle at the top.
My 5 favorite top plays, smart fades, stack ranks & contest-by-contest build starts
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