COURTEDGE · K PROPS

Starting-pitcher strikeout board

Consensus K lines with de-vigged fair Over% from the sharp markets (Pinnacle / Novig). The Live tab updates each starter's Over probability as the game moves — feed it current strikeouts and outs recorded and it runs a Poisson tail over the outs he has left.
Consensus board
Live model
Pitcher
K line
Fair Over%
Best Over
Read
Fair Over% = no-vig probability after stripping book margin from two-sided sharp lines. "Read" is our lean vs the posted number, not a lock. Coors starters (Sproat, Feltner) carry short K lines and lean Under in that run environment.