Pick a hitter from tonight's slate. We use CourtEdge's projected home-run rate (Poisson) for true HR odds, and its simulated DK-point percentiles for the boom/bust distribution — real sim output, not guesses.
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chance to homer tonight
Floor (25th %)
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Ceiling (95th %)
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Boom chance
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Bust chance
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Median DK projection—
2+ HR odds—
Projected ownership—
Leverage read—
Simulated DK-point distribution (10,000 sims)
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Green = boom outcomes, red = bust outcomes. Distribution sampled from CourtEdge's percentile curve for this hitter.