A 9.8-run total — the highest single-game number of the day — and the field is still captaining the pitcher. That inversion is the entire slate. Here's exactly how to attack it.
Article by James at CourtEdge · Sunday 7/12 · the model projections · ⚔️ SINGLE GAME · CPT + 5 FLEX · $50,000 hard cap · CourtEdge Analytics · Proprietary Models · ⏱ 15-minute read
The free look — the game theory in one paragraph: Vegas hangs a 9.8 total on this one (LAD implied 5.7, ARI 4.1). In low-total duels the winning captain is usually an arm; in a near-10-run game it's a bat — and yet the field has Emmet Sheehan at 20.5% captain while every stud bat captain in the game sits at 2.6–5.5%. Read that again: Ohtani, Freeman, Betts, Muncy, Marte, Carroll — ALL effectively unowned in the seat that decides the tournament. When the chalk misprices the captain market this badly, you don't need to be a hero anywhere else. Members get the full board below, including the 2.6% hidden ball.
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