⚾ MLB Early Slate — DFS Playbook

Four games, two clear run environments, two aces on the mound. My cash-vs-GPP arms, the low-owned stack I'm smashing, the value bats that make it all fit, and build cores from single-entry to 150-max.

Here's the setup. This is a tight 4-game early slate — TOR @ BOS, SF vs LAA, SD @ MIA, ARI @ WSH — and the run environment could not be more top-heavy. My proprietary CourtEdge projections now have Washington on top at 5.5 implied runs, with San Francisco right behind at 5.3. Miami sits third at 4.8. Everybody else is 4.3 or below, and the bottom of the board — San Diego 3.3 and Boston 2.8 — is where the aces live.

That's the whole story in one line: the runs are stacked in WSH and SF, the strikeouts are stacked in the TOR–BOS game, and the field is going to over-invest in the obvious side of both. Below the fold I break down exactly how I'm attacking it — cash vs tournament arms, the mini-stacks for cash and the full stacks for GPP, my favorite value bats, and how the build changes as you scale from one lineup to a 150-max portfolio. Let's get into it.